Premium to retail
Definition of premium-to-retail, the country-of-retail convention, and how to interpret negative premium.
Definition
Premium to retail is the percentage difference between the latest secondary-market median price and the current boutique retail price in a chosen country, both in USD. Positive premium means the bag trades above retail (waitlist scarcity); negative means it trades below retail (depreciation).
premium = (median_secondary - retail_usd) / retail_usd
Country convention
Retail varies by country because of VAT, taxes, and brand pricing strategy. By default we use US retail. The variant page exposes a retail_country parameter so you can change the baseline — for example, a French retail comparison shows lower premium because pre-tax French retail is cheaper.
Reading negative premium
Negative premium-to-retail is normal for non-waitlist bags. Most Louis Vuitton Neverfull configurations trade at -25% to -40% premium because supply is abundant. Hermès Birkin and Kelly are the major exceptions — chronic positive premium reflects the rationed retail supply.
Caveats
Retail price snapshots can lag brand changes by 1-7 days. Mid-quarter price adjustments by Hermès or Chanel are reflected at the next refresh. Premium calculations always use the most recent retail snapshot available.
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